The Latest: House Races Are Heating Up!
Axios: GOP’s stormy 2024 outlook
- “This week marked a low point for Republicans as they prepare for the 2024 elections: Former President Trump is once again the dominant force in the party, which is showing little indication of trying to appeal to swing voters.”
- “Why it matters: By aligning with Trump’s grievances and promoting tougher abortion restrictions, it’s increasingly difficult for the GOP to win outside of deep-red strongholds.”
- “Between the lines: To hold Republicans’ narrow House majority, Speaker Kevin McCarthy will need to hang on to suburban districts where voters are open to backing Republicans but have grown tired of extreme politics.”
- “Swing-state Republican Senate contenders weighing in on Trump is a lose-lose situation. If they distance themselves from Trump, it hurts them in a Republican primary. But tie themselves too closely to the former president, and they’ll shed independents.”
- “The bottom line: Biden holds historically low approval ratings himself. Democrats are vulnerable on the economy, crime and immigration. But they have shown an ability to moderate when necessary. Until Republican voters show they’re capable of doing the same, Democrats will hold the edge in 2024.”
Politico: No Wisconsin wake-up call: Republicans go full steam ahead on abortion restrictions
- We (the Republican party) need new messaging to voters. A right that people are more terrified to lose than an abortion.
- “The drubbing Republicans took in Wisconsin last week revealed how harmful the issue of abortion still is to the party — and will likely remain through 2024.”
- “The drubbing Republicans took in Wisconsin this week revealed how harmful the issue of abortion still is to the party — and will likely remain through 2024.”
- “If Wisconsin is any indication, it may also prove to be enormously destructive to the GOP.”
U.S. House of Representatives Updates
Inquirer: Ashley Ehasz is running for Congress again, setting up a 2024 rematch with Brian Fitzpatrick
- Fitzpatrick won PA-01 by 13 points and Biden won this seat by 5 points in 2020.
- This seat is one of the DCCC’s top target seats to flip.
- We are on defense here.
- Buck County, a purple county, is the area we need to chase in order to maintain this seat.
- Democrats “Sen. John Fetterman won Bucks County by seven points in November. Gov. Josh Shapiro won by nearly 20 points.”
NY1: DCCC aims to flip Reps. Bryan Steil, Derrick Van Orden seats in 2024
- The DCCC “is zeroing in on Wisconsin’s 1st and 3rd Congressional District’s seats because it believes the two Republican incumbents will be vulnerable next year.”
- Since the Democrat won the WI Supreme Court election and there is now a Democratic majority, there is a chance the congressional maps will be redrawn, becoming more favorable to the Dems.
- This will make Republican seats more competitive and vulnerable.
- “The DCCC announced this week it is launching a messaging blitz to voters; they’re trying to align Steil with far-right figures in the GOP in an effort to peel independent voters away from him.”
The Hill: Boebert’s Democratic challenger raises $1.7M in first quarter
- “Adam Frisch, the Democratic challenger who nearly ousted Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) in the midterm elections last year, announced that he raised more than $1.7 million in the first quarter of 2023 as he prepares for a rematch against the Republican firebrand.”
- “Frisch lost to Boebert by less than 600 votes in 2022, making it the closest House race in the country in the midterms.”
- “Even though the district was seen as safely Republican before the last cycle, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee announced this week that Boebert’s district was one that it would target in 2024.”
Politico: House Majority Whip Tom Emmer raised $2.2 million this quarter
- Rep. Tom Emmer has raised more than double his previous best fundraising mark.
- “Just one quarter in, the 2024 fundraising arms race has already begun in earnest.”
- “That figure is part of a massive GOP fundraising push this year, led by Speaker Kevin McCarthy, to seek record-breaking sums as Republicans work to hold onto their narrow House margin next November.”
Roll Call: Rep. Wexton discloses Parkinson’s disease diagnosis
- “Rep. Jennifer Wexton, D-Va., announced Tuesday that she has been diagnosed with Parkinson’s disease, an illness that affects the nervous system. Wexton, 54, said the disease has primarily affected her speech, manner of walking and balance, and she plans to remain in Congress as she undergoes treatment.”
- Rep. Wexton represents the 10th congressional district of Virginia.
- VA-10 is a FreedomWorks for America target district.
Spectrum News 1: Stefanik raises $3M to start year, plans re-election bid
- “Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik announced Tuesday she would seek re-election to her sprawling North Country congressional district after raising $3 million during the first fundraising quarter of the year.”
- “Stefanik is the No. 3 Republican in the U.S. House of Representatives, serving as the conference chair.”
Spectrum News 1: Democrat Josh Riley to run again for New York’s 19th Congressional District seat
- “Riley was defeated in a close race in November by Republican Marc Molinaro, losing by about 2 points.”
- “Riley’s candidacy sets up a potential rematch in one of New York’s most competitive races.” This is a 2024 Democrat target seat to flip back.
- “Riley already has the support of 20 Democratic Party county chairs across the district. “As Democratic Committee Chairs and Vice Chairs across New York’s 19th Congressional District, we are excited to support Josh Riley in his campaign for Congress.””
AP: Ohio Republican Majewski launches 2nd bid to take on Kaptur
- “Majewski was the winner of last year’s Republican primary for the Toledo-area 9th Congressional District”
- “He bested two sitting Republican state lawmakers to secure the nomination, but ultimately lost to Kaptur, the longest serving woman in Congress, by more than 13 percentage points.”
The New York Times: Sinema’s Senate Seat Draws First Major Republican Contender
- “Mark Lamb, a Pinal County, Arizona sheriff and an ally of former President Donald J. Trump, will run for the seat held by Kyrsten Sinema, a Democrat-turned-independent.”
- “In his announcement video, Mr. Lamb said he would “stand up to the woke left” and “secure our border and support our law enforcement.” He also called out his support for gun rights and his anti-abortion stance in the ad.”
Twitter: Bernie Moreno will be announcing his run for Ohio U.S. Senate April 18th
- At least we think so given his Twitter header is “Bernie Moreno for U.S. Senate.”
- Moreno is also the father-in-law of Congressman Max Miller (OH-07).